Is this the year dance music finally tops the triple j Hottest 100?

The triple j Hottest 100 has been running for 24 years, and not once in those two and a half decades has a dance track taken the top spot.

But this week, that could all change. Right now, Harley ‘Flume’ Streten is favourite to take #1 in this year’s poll with his multi-platinum hit Never Be Like You. The only contender he has to worry about is Amy Shark, the Gold Coast indie-pop singer who shot to success late last year with her tune Adore. Nick Whyte, the computer science nerd who used data collected from social media posts to predict the Hottest 100, puts Amy Shark in the lead. Odds elsewhere tip Flume for #1.

The only other dance act to come close to claiming the honour for dance music is Peking Duk, who were widely tipped to take out the 2014 poll with their breakthrough track High. It didn’t work quite work out that way: Canberra’s loosest units got to #2, while Chet Faker edged ahead for the with win Talk Is Cheap.

Not even Major Lazer’s record-breaking Lean On – which was crowned the most streamed song ever on Spotify, until Drake overtook them this year – could make it to #1 in triple j’s books. Last year they ranked in third place, trailing The Rubens and Kendrick Lamar. The number three spot is also as high as Daft Punk made it in 2013 with their comeback hit Get Lucky.

As for how dance music fared in previous years? Flume’s Holdin On and Major Lazer’s Get Free both cracked the top ten in 2012, Ou Est Le Swimming Pool’s Dance The Way I Feel (er, if you want to claim that as ‘dance music’) got to #3 in 2010 and Art vs Science’s Parlez Vous Francais? was second in 2009. Further back, acts like The Presets, Basement Jaxx, The Avalanches, Fatboy Slim and The Prodigy have all placed in the top ten.

We’ll find out whether Flume can go the distance when triple j air the Hottest 100 this Thursday, January 26.